6 key factors that are influencing the payments industry

By Leandra Monteiro

The financial-services industry is in the midst of a significant transformation, accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Given the key role digitisation plays in the financial lives of more and more of the world’s population, electronic payments are at the epicentre of this transformation.

Payments are increasingly becoming cashless, and the industry’s role in fostering inclusion has become a significant priority. As digital money draws a stronger interest, the financial services industry must recognise the entire infrastructure of payments is being reshaped, with new business models emerging.

PwC’s survey reveals how even before the COVID-19 pandemic, cashless payments like sending a text to pay for a bus ticket in Turkey, or using a QR code to buy groceries in China are evidence of a steady shift to a digital economy – a shift that might ultimately lead to a global cashless society.  With global cashless payment volumes being predicted to increase by more than 80% from 2020 to 2025, from about 1tn transactions to almost 1.9tn, and to almost triple by 2030.

According to findings by PwC – Asia-Pacific will grow the fastest, with cashless transaction volume growing by 109% from 2020 to 2025  followed by Africa (78% from 64%) and Europe (64% from 39%), Latin America comes next (52% from 48%), and the US and Canada will have the least rapid growth (43% from 35%).

“Aside from this shift to a cashless society, we need to also pay attention to a more profound change. Not only are consumers saying goodbye to traditional ways of paying for goods and services—including the humble paper check and analogue invoices, but the entire infrastructure of payments is being reshaped.

That reshaping involves two parallel trends: an evolution of the front- and back-end parts of the payment system (instant payments; bill payments and request to pay; and plastic cards and digital wallets); and a revolution involving huge structural changes to the payment mix and ecosystem (emergence of so-called ‘buy now, pay later’ offerings; cryptocurrencies; and work underway on central bank digital currencies,” said Kurtis Babczenko – Global Banking and Capital Markets Leader, and US Finance Transformation Leader at PwC.

A PwC report reveals the key themes that are influencing the payments industry and highlights the importance of how the industry responds to these trends:

Inclusion and trust: In developing countries, financial inclusion will continue to be driven by mobile devices and access to affordable, convenient payment mechanisms. By 2025, smartphone penetration will likely reach 80% globally, largely via uptake in emerging markets such as Indonesia, Pakistan and Mexico.

Digital currencies: CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies) are predicted to have the biggest disruptive impact over the next 20 years.

Digital wallets: Looking ahead, 86% of our survey respondents agreed or strongly agreed with the prediction that traditional payment providers will collaborate with fintechs and technology providers as a main source of innovation.

Battle of the rails: Senior payment professionals surveyed expect important regional developments towards a payment infrastructure in which card and other transactions run on joint account-based payment rails. Key initiatives in Latin America, South-East Asia and Europe give testimony of this development.

Cross-border payment: In our survey, 42% of respondents said they felt strongly that there would be an acceleration of cross-border, cross-currency instant payments and B2B payments in the next five years.

Financial crime: In our survey, security, compliance, and data-privacy risks and related issues were the top concern for banks, FinTechs and asset managers in implementing a fully integrated technology strategy.